Friends of Ron Paul in Japan

Danish Bank Pannel Predicts Ron Paul To Become U.S. President

The Saxo Bank based in Denmark has issued a Bearish Assessment for 2008, the silver lining is a Paul Presidency

Saxo Bank experts believe that oil prices will hit the level of 175 dollars per barrel in 2008, whereas grain prices will double. The U.S. and the Chinese markets will collapse by 25 and 40 percent respectively by the end of the summer of 2008. Every third of ten U.S. large building companies will go bankrupt. The British economy will also start declining.

The bank has its forecast on the new U.S. president too. The bank predicts that Ron Paul, the Texan Republican, will take the office in 2008.

 What does this mean?

I think it is interesting that a respected financial institution would 1) make such a Casandra-like economic forecast, 2) go out on a limb and  predict a Paul Presidency.  What is it with these Danes?  Libertarian leanings, or just contrarianism?

 Of course Friends of Ron Paul in Japan would like the latter prediction to come true, but hopefully without the tanking of the global economy.  Are we to assume the two forecasts are linked…that is what a cursory reading would assume. Perhaps the Saxo experts are thinking that conditions will worsen early in the year, creating a political demand for an economic outsider to reform (or rather revolutionize) the system. Or in a more sinsiter vein…are they central banking fans who think that Ron Paul’s election will spook the economy into a depression?  The emphasis on oil as a fundamental factor would seem to exclude this latter interpretation.

I don’t know what these Danes are up to myself, but let’s eschew any Hamlet like equivocation and assume that they are Paulistas at heart.  If so, the prediction provides plenty of food for thought…or rather angst.  The timing is troublesome, since twelve months is a long time, and the Republican cards are likely to be dealt out pretty early in the year.  That doesn’t leave much time for reaction to bad news.

In other words, I see the message of these melancholy Danes as just another wake up call for the Paulistas.  The window of opportunity is now, with the onset of the Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire primary, and all the other early year political events.  If significant headway isn’t made within this time frame, all those thousands of people who just got political to help Ron Paul “for the first time in their life” can just go back to whatever preoccupied them before they became Paulistas, because the show will be over.

“To do or do not…there is no try!”  That’s Yoda, not Hamlet.


An Open Letter to Iowa Republicans

Ron Paul the Internationalist:An Open Letter to Iowa Republicans by Mark Sunwall

Dear Iowans,

As an American living abroad, I am acutely aware of global interdependence, something of which I hardly need to remind Iowans. This January, the eyes of the whole world will be on Iowa, to see if America chooses internationalism, or if it continues to dig itself into an isolationist pit. Perhaps you will be surprised if I told you there was only one truly internationalist candidate running for president, and that his name was Dr. Ron Paul.

This may seem like a paradox to those of you who have been told that Dr. Paul is the isolationist, and the other candidates are upholders of internationalism. Perhaps it would be more accurate to say this was a disagreement over methods, and that while Ron Paul thinks that peace and free trade promote internationalism, his opponents think the same end can be attained by saber-rattling and coercion. Viewed this way, perhaps it would take a degree in diplomacy or a crystal ball to tell which of the two positions was the more expedient.

Not being prescient, I am forced to rely on my moral intuitions and what I know about human nature. I know that people react negatively to foreign domination, even when that domination is arguably in their own best interests. If left to their own devices, the people of any given country are likely to experiment with error before they make their own way to a free and just society, but such a process of trial and error cannot be short-circuited by imposition from the outside, for the painful process by which freedom is attained is the prerequisite for building up a culture of moral and political responsibility.

In the view of Dr. Ron Paul we have squandered our own moral capital in fruitless attempts to build up bogus democracies (and even bare-faced dictatorships) abroad. This is a great tragedy, for while the maintenance of our own free institutions requires a constant replenishing of our national and spiritual resources, we have been bled dry, morally, fiscally, and in the literal toll of American men and women who have perished in dubious conflicts abroad.

Throughout our national history Iowa has contributed more than its share to America’s campaigns overseas. My own grandfather was a lifelong Republican who always voted the straight party ticket. He also was a commander of the Iowa National Guard and saw service in both world wars. In these he was unflinchingly loyal, and proud to lead the first Expeditionary Force to the relief of the British Isles upon America’s entry into that second world-wide conflict.

Yet he was never a boastful soldier, and preferred not to speak about what he had been through. However he did keep, in a place where he thought nobody would discover it, a scrapbook of pictures from the trenches of France. He, or somebody he knew, had gone to the trouble of documenting the terrible effects of poison gas on the human body. These were the images which my grandfather sought to preserve, as testimony to the terrors of total war. Since they were from the first war I can only imagine what was going through his mind as he marched into the second!

Yet he went, for though he despised the man in the White House, he respected the democratic process by which Congress had declared war against Germany. Hitler was conquering Europe and dropping bombs on London, and it was no time to be arguing the finer points of pacifism or just war theory. Yet he was never happier than when he returned to his home in Waterloo Iowa at the end of the conflict.

Almost everyone is familiar with the parable of beating swords into pruning hooks. At the end of World War II this meant that the veterans of Iowa could put down their arms, return to their families, and start manufacturing agricultural implements and other useful tools of peace. However dreams of a demobilized world were soon squashed by a new globalist doctrine of national security, and a continuing Democratic administration, which now claimed the right of the executive power to commit troops abroad unilaterally, even in the absence of a declaration of war.

Against this new doctrine of false, unilateralist “internationalism” stood the policies advocated by the Republican leader, Senator Robert Taft. It was a philosophy which Iowa Republicans could understand and support, and it had nothing to do with isolationism or pacifism. How could it have been? After all, Midwesterners had just welcomed soldiers from a global conflict back to what was from that time called “the breadbasket of the world.” Taft’s voluntarist internationalism insisted only that American policy abroad should be constitutional and conducted with the consent of, and in the general interests of, the American people. It was a policy formulated in the same spirit that animates what people are calling “the Ron Paul Revolution” today. In truth, this “revolution” consists in nothing more than calling the Republican party back to its roots.

Unfortunately, after Taft the party gradually adopted the Democrats’ doctrine of unilateral interventionism. A policy of “bipartisanship” evolved which said that trivial issues such as budgetary details were proper items of debate, but major issues such as war and peace were too delicate to be trusted to democratic process. This would have greatly surprised the founders of the Anglo-American tradition of free government. 19th century Iowans, with the words of the Lincoln-Douglass debates still ringing in their ears could never have imagined such a tame and, as it were, “unpolitical” future. Moreover, in the course of events Congress has even surrendered its authority over the minutiae of policy and expenditure, viewing with contempt the “green eye-shade” preoccupation with details. Again, Congressman Ron Paul (affectionately known as “Dr. No” for his persistent governmental skepticism) is the exception who proves the rule.

Surely there is a time for peace and a time for war, a time to say “no” to tyrants like Hitler when they actually threaten the security of the United States, but also a time to say “no” to those who create bogeymen, attempting to suborn the generous internationalist instincts of Americans by pressing the buttons of past traumas. Yes, the world is full of criminals, troglodytes, and wild-eyed fanatics, but surely these are better dealt with by the attention of a few well placed Sherlock Holmes than by the maintenance of a ruinously expensive military-industrial establishment.

Internationalism, peace, and prosperity: these three goals stand in no logical contradiction, although they have suffered a great deal of political obfuscation. America needs all three, but before it gets them there must be a return to genuine debate over fundamental principles. The Republican party must, to borrow a famous slogan, offer “a choice not an echo.” Between the social collectivism of the Democratic Party and the traditional civil society of the Republican Party there may some day be the possibility of rational choice. Today there is no choice whatsoever.

All the other Republican candidates are running for office, Ron Paul is running with an idea. Its the idea without which there can be no internationalism, no peace, and no prosperity. It’s called freedom. Please consider that when you caucus this January and give Ron Paul your hearty support.


Mr. Lepard’s Paulist Manifesto

This is the most cogent and concise declaration of the reasons for supporting Ron Paul’s bid for the U.S. Presidency which has yet come to my attention.  It appeared as an ad in the New York Times, succeeding another one in USA Today…to which expense the monetary figure referes. I hope it will be widely disseminated and thatAd Supporting Ron Paul by Lawrence W. Lepard we can get some translation of it into other languages.


That was good tea!

 Ron Paul: The Six Million Dollar Man!

Sources are not being exact, but it is pretty clear that the Ron Paul fundraiser on Boston Tea Party Day was comfortably over the six million mark.  This appears to be the record 24 hour political donation for US presidential candidates of either party.  Just as impressively, the number of first time givers to the campaign was an awsome aproximation to 25,000!  That would constitute something like a 100% growth in financial supporters.

Knowing the character of the candidate and the kind of people he is likely to select for his staff, we can assume a high probability of the money being well spent.  It’s too bad that we can’t make that same assumption in the case of Washington!


A Tea Party for Ron

Everybody over here knows that there is nothing more serious than tea! Today is the day to put your most sincere support of Ron Paul’s campagne into practice. Tea anyone?
Ron Paul

Congressman Ron Paul, running for the 2008 Republican Presidential nomination.

Libery is his cup of tea, isn’t it everyone’s?


Newsflash: Ron Paul Winning in Japan!

Is Ron Paul “big in Japan”?  You betcha!  According to the world opinion polling site whowouldtheworldelect.com Ron Paul is already first choice for US President throughout the world, or at least among those savvy enough to express their opinion on the net.  Japan is no exception to the world trend, with the following results for those contending among the two major US parties:

360 votes for Ron Paul, 108 votes for Barack Obama, 56 votes for Dennis Kucinich, 42 votes for Rudy Giuliani, 22 votes for Mike Gravel, 19 votes for Hillary Clinton, 17 votes for John McCain, 8 votes for John Edwards, 8 votes for Fred Thompson, 3 votes for Sam Brownback, 3 votes for Tom Tancredo, 3 votes for Mitt Romeny, 2 votes for Bill Richardson, 1 vote for Mike Huckabee, and 1 vote for Duncan Hunter.

No big surprises here for the seasoned Paulist observer.   Hopefully his message of voluntary, as opposed to coerced, internationalism, is getting recognition.


A Decent Respect

A Decent Respect for the opinions of mankind…

Thus read a famous declaration written in July of 1776.  Thomas Jefferson was trying to explain to the world what “causes impelled the separation” of the British American colonies from their homeland.  Generally speaking, demands for epochal political changes should be few and far between.  In every generation there will be born troublemakers, as well as people who are rightly concerned that their political situation demands radical reform.  The problem is to separate hysteria from hope, well thought out principle from mindless agitation.  That was why Jefferson was commissioned to write the Declaration of Independence in that summer of 1776, not to convince his countrymen, who were already pretty much decided, but to convince the peoples of the world that the British American colonists had not suddenly gone mad.  Of course it was King George who had gone mad…not Jefferson or Paine or Samuel Adams, but that might not have been so clear to contemporaries as it is we who have the perspective of history behind us.  In particular it might not have been so clear to the conservative French nobility, for whom the world “rebellion” was a dirty word.  Yet the French would soon enter into the American side of the conflict…and not the least of the reasons for their support must have been the calm, reasoned appeals which issued from the pen of Jefferson.

Today a new revolution is stirring in America under the leadership of Congressman Ron Paul of Texas.  It is a revolution which intends to triumph through the ballot box rather than through force, and one which intends to reinstate the rights of many while infringing on those of none.  Yet, for all of that it is a radical movement, and there are many temperamental conservatives who fear anything which smacks of radicalism.  It is for this reason that a “decent respect” for the opinions of mankind, impels us to explain in plain language to the world why this “revolution” is no threat, but rather a potential boon, to the generality of mankind worldwide.

To begin with, let’s see just what this “revolution” entails.  Ron Paul’s revolution is enigmatic in the sense that its sole demand is a return to constitutional government.  Surely a demand for return to constitutional government is a conservative, not a radical, proposition!  However when one considers the reality of American history, such a demand is in fact radical in the truest sense.  This is because of the subtle and unique way in which semi-unitary government was imposed on the United States.  A forgotten writer of the first half of the 20th century, Garet Garrett by name, called this political development “revolution within the form.”

What is “revolution within the form” and why does Ron Paul want to have a second revolution to reinstate the original form? Let’s make a simple comparison between political systems, again making mention of France…this time the France of the 20th century.   French society during the time of the Third Republic and that of the Fifth Republic has changed radically, and American society has changed even more radically during the same period.  However what makes America odd is that its constitution has not changed in the same way that of France, or any other “normal” nation has changed.  Of course the American political system has undergone vast changes, but these changes have never been submitted any constitutional referenda.  Rather they have evolved through largely unnoticed shifts in the meanings of the original compact which stood at the basis of American political life.  They have been imposed by administrative and judicial cabals operating out of sight of democratic process.  Furthermore the process has been gradual, always being justified by some noble pretext, such as class or racial justice, or a struggle against a relentless external enemy.  Many people would be willing to give up a little freedom to attain some noble end, but the process has taken on a dynamic of itself.  First the New Deal of FDR, then the National Security State of Truman, then JFK’s New Frontier followed by Lyndon Johnson’s Great Society…all the way up to the present and George W. Bush’s Homeland Security State, the common denominator of all these diverse causes being the increasing preponderance of the federal government over civil society and local community.

Even if the advocates of unitary government were right, in their belief that the exigencies of modern society require centralization and control, would it not behoove them to submit their plans to democratic approval? But of course they have never done that, knowing that they would never get any such mandate!  Instead Americans have the form of the 1787 constitution, with the substance of domestic socialism and aggressive projection of power abroad.  The separate branches of government, as well as the distinctions between the federal government and the states, continue to exist, but they no longer function in the way that the founders intended.  This is “revolution within the form.”

What Ron Paul wants is no more, and no less, radical than honesty.  According to the ancient principle of “a government of laws and not men,” we need a government which at least abides by the highest law of the land, the Constitution.  This is a universal principle that people of all nations should be able to recognize.  Indeed it is so universal that even the most fanatical centralizers, the advocates of the “unitary executive” should be expected to recognize it.  If they are consistent they  should propose a constitution like the one which DeGaul wrote for the Fifth republic…a unitary constitution with executive primacy.  They should propose it and see if the American people would stand for it.

Of course they won’t, because they are trying to get the same thing through the issue endless executive, administrative and judicial writs.  Ron Paul is one of the few who is trying to hold them to the letter of the law, and the only one who is running for  president in 2008.  All American citizens should support him, and should endeavor to explain to all throughout the world who are not American citizens that this is more than just a political choice…it is a moral imperative.   A decent respect for the opinions of mankind demands no less.


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